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Gaps between the dedicated State of Plays and release dates for different games:
The Last of Us Part II - 23 days
Ghost of Tsushima - 64 days
Demon's Souls - 5 days
Destruction AllStars - 6 days
Returnal - 64 days
Ratchet and Clank: Rift Apart - 43 days
If we were to take the average of 34 days that would give us a June 30th release date for Horizon but I think that average is a bit too low due to Demon's Souls and Destruction AllStars.
If we were to calculate an average without those two, we'd get a mid-July date.
And if we were to use the largest gap, 64 days, we'd get a 30th July release date. That said, we could see this game having a larger gap than previous games did. Another thing worth remembering is that Rift Apart launches on June 11th and Deathloop launches 14th September. So a July/August release for Horizon makes the most sense to give those games at least a few weeks space.
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Ghost of Tsushima showed July is a perfectly viable month to launch a AAA game and still sell well.
So I won't be surprised for a summer date
ID: gzg5mti -
That would be pretty insane. I know it is a big leap of faith but if that occurs, it does open up that holiday Q4 window for God of War if it even is intending to launch this year. I certainly my will be anticipating a 2022 God of War launch however to keep expectations in check.
ID: gzg4maoI think it makes a lot of sense given that Deathloop releases in September, and Ghostwire in October (both big PS5 exclusives).
ID: gzg99x7Neither of those are even 1/2 the scale of Horizon combined.
This is a late 2021 game.
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I'm pretty sure that HFW was originally planned to launch in summer 2021. In the midst of all the covid delays and no information, everyone assumed the game would be released late this year.
If it does indeed launch in summer 2021 that could mean GoW could still launch this year as advertised. Could Sony have been playing 5D chess with us all along?
ID: gzg60mpGow hasn't even shown and footage of the game.
No way it comes out this year and probably not till late 22 at best.
Hfw probably releases around November
ID: gzg8cnzAll but 2 games in the GoW franchise were released in March, and only of one those was a drastic departure (November, for a PSP title; the other was in late April). God of War is a Spring franchise, and unless they really intend to have it out on 2021, I doubt we'll have to wait past April 2022 for it.
ID: gzg6n4vYes but they wouldn't tease the game 6 months ago saying it's releasing in 2021 for no reason. And if GoW happens to release in 2021 or early 2022, imagine all the cards they are holding that we haven't even glimpsed.
I for one think it's genius of Sony to focus on promoting one first party game at a time, especially when it comes to creating hype or trying to make conservative people buy more than 2 or 3 games at release per year.
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I'm saving this post for receipts
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Imagine if we actually got Horizon in 2 months and then GoW in Q4, Internet would break haha
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If that's the case I think they don't announce a date with the state of play but then announce it at e3 as a suprise
ID: gzg662mSony won't be at E3, so unless they announce another stream shortly after, this is currently their best window of opportunity to get some hype ahead of it all.
ID: gzg6lfiThey won't be at E3 proper but I wouldn't be surprised if they do there own thing again.
Take last year's show for example. It took place during the traditional E3 weekend depsite being an unrelated event and it was even announced right after a late May state of play. Just like this one for Horizon
ID: gzg6kumOh oops I meant some other bigger PlayStation event like whatever their big press thing is
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I would be shocked if we see this game before September. And let’s say it is, what does Sony have planned for the fall if GoW is not ready?
ID: gzg9yhsMaybe they don’t need anything in the fall if GOW is early 2022. By early I mean Feb/March
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I think the main reason we’re getting this state of play is so that they don’t have to use up time for it in their digital presentation close to e3
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I don't expect it til October or November. Big holiday game.
ID: gzg5opfDidn't they already announce that it was being released in November?
ID: gzg9c2kAll they said was 2nd half 2021 I’m pretty sure
ID: gzga572oh, I don't know. Didn't think it had a date yet.
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Nah.
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Don’t do that. Don’t give me hope.
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But isn't the difference is that we knew the release date for most of these games before they had their SoP?
ID: gzg6cmyThat is true and it's partly why I think the gap could be bigger this time and the game could come out in August (instead of July which is what the numbers above would indicate). I do think it'll be one of those two months though as we have two big AAA exclusives coming in September (Deathloop) and October (Ghostwire). July/August just seems perfect looking at the release calendar.
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I think Horizon FW was meant to release this summer but got delayed internally and will likely release in November.
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All hyped games so far were disappointing in the last 2 years. But there is no way for HFW to be in the list!
ID: gzg816nThere were plenty of games that were hyped that were really good the last spider man was really good.
Demon souls is amazing, ghost of tsushima and lou2 were both great games
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Hfw is a November release since rachet is June.
Gow2 has 0 chance of releasing this year. We have yet to see anything on that game.
Kenya Bridge of spirits is August.
Deathloop is September.
引用元:https://www.reddit.com/r/PS5/comments/nl232i/based_on_the_gaps_between_past_game_releases_and/
Exactly. And, as it stands, July and August are really quiet for AAA releases this year. September onwards is where everything starts releasing (Life is Strange, Deathloop, then Ghostwire and of course COD and FIFA, plus Battlefield and Halo: Infinite later in the year too, probably a bunch of other games I've forgotten as well)